If all goes well, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg might just deliver his tiny projected surpluses, but it isn’t clear why he should. Lukas Coch/AAP

Surplus before spending. Frydenberg’s risky MYEFO strategy

The treasurer has pulled out all stops to continue to forecast budget surpluses, but they are low, and don’t take account of several likely costs.

Contact Stephen for

  • General
  • Media request
  • Speaking request
  • Consulting / Advising
  • Research collaboration
  • Research supervision