You could compare election opinion polls to penalty shoot-outs at a World Cup final: there’s huge pressure to get it right and we remember the big misses most of all.
- Professor, Future Fellow and Head of Statistics at UNSW, and a Deputy Director of the Australian Centre of Excellence in Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), UNSW
Australia hampir tidak mempunyai peluang untuk menang. Tapi peluang mereka masih lebih baik daripada Italia, Belanda dan Amerika Serikat, mereka tidak ada yang berhasil ke turnamen sama sekali.
Australia has won the soccer World Cup three times, in simulation games only. So what are the challenges to predicting the winner?
We are often presented with surveys that claim to show how we all think on a certain subject. But how many people do you need to ask for that finding to have have any convincing meaning?
Not everyone who could vote did vote in the voluntary postal vote on same-sex marriage. So what can we draw from the result if only four out of five eligible Australians took part?
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