Matthew Gray

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The losers from Labor’s capital gains tax policy aren’t all where you would expect them to be, whatever you expect. Shutterstock

Stranger than fiction. Who Labor’s capital gains tax changes will really hurt

Ben Phillips, Australian National University and Matthew Gray, Australian National University

At times we are told Labor’s capital gains tax policy will hit mainly high earners. At other times, low earners. The truth, uncovered by our microsimulation model, tells us something about ourselves.
Newstart should be lifted by mush more than usually proposed, a new ANU algorithm finds. Shutterstock

Cut the pension, boost Newstart. What our algorithm says is the best way to get value for our welfare dollars

Ben Phillips, Australian National University; Matthew Gray, Australian National University, and Richard Webster, Australian National University

A new ANU computer algorithm can provide near instant answers about how to get the best bang for welfare dollars. It says we should boost Newstart and cut either pensions or family benefits.
Single parents have been made worse off by the Howard, Rudd, Gillard, Abbott and Turnbull governments. It’s time to take stock. Shutterstck

It’s not just Newstart. Single parents are $271 per fortnight worse off. Labor needs an overarching welfare review

Peter Whiteford, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University; Ben Phillips, Australian National University; Bruce Bradbury, UNSW ; David Stanton, Australian National University; Matthew Gray, Australian National University, and Miranda Stewart, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

Fixing Newstart isn’t enough. We need a comprehensive inquiry into our complex and bewildering social security system, especially as it applies to single parents.
Automation has replaced workers in mining and industry, including the steelworks at Port Kembla, but most Australians are more worried about jobs going overseas. Dean Lewins/AAP

Australians worry more about losing jobs overseas than to robots

Nicholas Biddle, Australian National University; Jill Sheppard, Australian National University, and Matthew Gray, Australian National University

Most Australian workers are fairly relaxed about their own job security, but they do worry about the risks of poor management and outsourcing to cheaper labour.
Forecasting income tax a decade into the future is a tricky proposition. AAP Image/Joel Carrett

The Coalition’s income tax cuts will help the rich more, but in a decade everyone pays more anyway

Ben Phillips, Australian National University and Matthew Gray, Australian National University

The income tax cuts in the 2018 federal budget are likely to be modestly regressive, giving high earners a lower share of the overall tax burden. But by 2028 income tax will be higher across the board.
There are still many barriers to Indigenous participation and retention in the Australian workforce. Tracey Nearmy/AAP

Eight ways we can improve Indigenous employment

Nicholas Biddle, Australian National University; Boyd Hunter, Australian National University; Mandy Yap, Australian National University, and Matthew Gray, Australian National University

There is an ongoing trend of low workforce participation among Indigenous people, research demonstrates eight ways to improve this.

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