Kristian Coates Ulrichsen

The navy of Yemen’s internationally recognized government patrols a shipping lane off the Hanish Islands in the Red Sea on July 27, 2026. Khaled Ziad/AFP via Getty Images

A new Houthi front and expanded Iranian attacks risk sinking Gulf nations’ choke‑point workaround and widening shipping risks

The ongoing war in Iran has created an expanding zone of risk for shipping, including for Saudi Arabia’s strategy of redirecting oil exports away from Hormuz.
Alaa Badarneh/EPA, Ronen Zvulun/AP, Alex Brandon/ AP POOL, Wikimedia, IRGC office via EPA, Royal Thai Navy/HANDOUT EPA, The Conversation

How will the Iran war change the Middle East? We asked 5 experts

The US, Israel and Iran war will shift alliances and create insecurity for years to come.
A yacht sails past a plume of smoke rising from the port of Jebel Ali following a reported Iranian strike in Dubai on March 1, 2026. Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images

Iran’s targeting of airport, ports and hotels in reaction to US strikes has forced Gulf nations onto front lines of a war they want no part in

Qatar, the UAE and other Gulf nations have spent years cultivating an image of being an oasis of stability in the Mideast. The current war risks undoing all that work.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy meets with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on March 11, 2025. Ukrainian Presidency/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images.

Saudi Arabia’s role as Ukraine war mediator advances Gulf nation’s diplomatic rehabilitation − and boosts its chances of a seat at the table should Iran‑US talks resume

Perception as a neutral country has helped Gulf state position itself as a crucial diplomatic player in Ukraine-Russia war. It also serve’s kingdom’s self-interest.
Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman meets with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Riyadh on Oct. 15, 2023. Royal Court of Saudi Arabia/Anadolu via Getty Images

Saudi plans to ‘de‑risk’ region have taken a hit with Gaza violence − but hitting pause on normalization with Israel will buy kingdom time

A decade of de-escalation among Gulf states could be at risk if Israel-Hamas violence spills across region. And that could threaten Saudi plans to transform the kingdom.

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