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Karen Benjamin Guzzo

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Professor of Sociology and Director of the Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Unfortunately for demographers, birth rates are hard to predict far into the future. gremlin/E+ via Getty Images

July 25, 2025

Fears that falling birth rates in US could lead to population collapse are based on faulty assumptions

Leslie Root, University of Colorado Boulder; Karen Benjamin Guzzo, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, and Shelley Clark, McGill University

While the changes in population structure that accompany low birth rates are real, the impact of these changes has been dramatically overstated.

More one-and-done families influence the overall birth rate. Maskot via Getty Images

January 12, 2023

US birth rates are at record lows – even though the number of kids most Americans say they want has held steady

Sarah Hayford, The Ohio State University and Karen Benjamin Guzzo, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Childbearing goals have remained remarkably consistent over the decades. What has changed is when people start their families and how many kids they end up having.

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Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina, U.S.
BlueSky: @karen.guzzo@bsky.social
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Joined January 4, 2023