The move suggests Iran and its allies are settling in for a long war. That could mean pain for the global economy.
- Associate Professor in International Relations, UNSW
Neither side can stomach a strategic defeat. Nor can they find a way to an exit ramp.
New tit-for-tat airstrikes between the US and Iran over control of the Strait of Hormuz suggest the ceasefire will not turn into a permanent peace.
There is nothing in the agreement that is positive for the US and did not already exist before the war.
Escalating a conflict is paradoxically one way to end it. But this strategy can be flawed, particularly in a region like the Middle East.
Much like the frozen conflicts between India and Pakistan or North and South Korea, this will keep the entire world on edge.
With Trump trying to get out and Netanyahu determined not to give up in Lebanon, a path to peace is hard to find.
The US, Israel and Iran war will shift alliances and create insecurity for years to come.
As Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan show, the US can’t win wars against insurgent tactics. So, Iran just has to survive longer than the US political will to fight.
A new agreement will see an unprecedented increase in defence spending on the continent, but the goal is a longer-term one, not one aimed at winning the war in Ukraine.
Europe needs the US’s military and economic might but may need to explore new strategies due to Donald Trump’s position on Ukraine.
A Kamala Harris victory will give Volodymyr Zelensky more time and a continued stream of aid. Donald Trump, however, has vowed to end the conflict quickly, which is causing much concern in Ukraine.
De Myanmar a Pakistán, estos países tienen conflictos latentes desde hace tiempo o una ciudadanía cada vez más descontenta. Todo podría empeorar en el nuevo año.
De Mianmar ao Paquistão, diversos países mantêm com conflitos latentes ou deflagrados que podem piorar em 2024.
From Myanmar to Pakistan, these countries have long-simmering conflicts or increasingly dissatisfied publics that could worsen in the new year.
Countries like Egypt, Lebanon, Syria and Qatar all have a stake in the outcome of the war – but none want to be actively involved in fighting.
The Ukrainian president’s key wartime speeches are to be published in a book. His ability to weave a narrative bigger than any one life or nation has shaped the way we have understood this war.
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