James Horncastle

In this photo provided by the Ukrainian Presidential Press Office, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, left, meets with Saudi’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on March 10, 2025, for peace talks. (Ukrainian Presidential Press Office via AP)

What the U.S. ceasefire proposal means for Ukraine, Russia, Europe – and Donald Trump

Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s success in bolstering support for Ukraine in Europe following a contentious White House meeting might be an example of his flair for calculated risks. Is a ceasefire close?
Un combatiente de la oposición dispara su AK-47 mientras celebra la toma de la ciudad de Damasco, Siria, el 8 de diciembre de 2024. (AP Photo/Hussein Malla)

Por qué es poco probable que la caída de El Asad lleve la paz a Siria

Pase lo que pase tras la caída del dictador sirio, es difícil que la estabilidad vuelva a este país fragmentado y torturado. La mala noticia es que es probable que continúen el desplazamiento y el sufrimiento del pueblo sirio.
An opposition fighter fires his AK-47 as he celebrates the takeover of the city of Damascus, Syria, on Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Hussein Malla)

Why the fall of Bashar al‑Assad is unlikely to lead to peace in Syria

Whatever happens now in the aftermath of the fall of the Syrian dictatorship isn’t likely to return stability to Syria. The continued displacement and suffering of the Syrian people is probable.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, speaks as North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un listens to him during a state reception after their talks in Pyongyang, North Korea, in June 2024. (Vladimir Smirnov, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)

Amid the West’s wavering aid to Ukraine, North Korea backs Russia in a mutually beneficial move

The West’s delays in providing meaningful aid to Ukraine have resulted in a protracted conflict that gave Russia the time to muster resources, like North Korean soldiers, for the conflict.
Satellite image of the aftermath of a large series of explosions at an ammunition depot in Toropets, Russia, on Sept. 18, 2024. (Satellite image ©2023 Maxar Technologies via AP)

Ukraine drone strikes demonstrate its continuing intent to fight the long war against Russia

The Russia-Ukraine conflict is a war of attrition, and most analyses have assumed that plays to Russia’s advantage. But that view disregards the importance of Ukrainian resolve and morale.
Malians demonstrate in support of Russia on the 60th anniversary of the independence of the Republic of Mali, in Bamako, Mali, in September 2020. Russian mercenaries have played a key role in the fighting in several African countries, prompting attacks by Ukrainian-backed rebels. (AP Photo)

Ukrainian special operations abroad are part of its broader war effort against Russia

In causing disproportionate losses to Russian soldiers in Africa, Ukrainian Special Operations Forces give their soldiers and the people of Ukraine a morale boost amid a largely stagnant war at home.
Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba, left, speaks to U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken after placing flowers at a memorial for fallen soldiers in Kyiv, Ukraine, on May 15, 2024. Blinken told Ukrainians that billions of dollars in American military aid is on the way after months of political delays. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

Delays in western aid have put Ukraine in a perilous position

The Russia-Ukraine war over the past several months has been described as a stalemate and Russia’s latest offensive as a ploy. If so, it’s proving to be a successful one, and here’s why the West is to blame.
A woman chants slogans as she holds an Iranian flag during an anti-Israeli gathering in Tehran on April 19, 2024. Israel reportedly retaliated against Iran on April 19 for its drone-and-missile assault on Israel a week earlier. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Israel hits back at Iran: How domestic politics is determining Israeli actions

Israel’s latest missile strike on Iran may be more a face-saving exercise aimed at satisfying members of its coalition government than a true escalation of hostilities.
Un soldat de la Garde nationale russe sécurise une zone alors qu'un gigantesque incendie s'abat sur l'hôtel de ville de Crocus à Moscou. Une filiale de l'État islamique a revendiqué l'attaque de la salle de concert qui a tué plus de 130 personnes. (AP Photo/Dmitry Serebryakov)

L’attaque de l’État islamique (EI‑K) à Moscou risque d’aggraver la guerre entre la Russie et l’Ukraine

L’Ukraine a nié toute implication dans l’attentat terroriste de Moscou. Cela ne signifie pas que la Russie n’essaiera pas d’utiliser cet événement pour intensifier sa guerre avec l’Ukraine.
A Russian National Guard servicemen secures an area as a massive blaze seen over the Crocus City Hall in Moscow. An Islamic State affiliate has claimed responsibility for the attack on the concert hall that killed over 130 people. (AP Photo/Dmitry Serebryakov)

ISIS‑K’s attack in Moscow risks escalating the Russia‑Ukraine war

Ukraine has denied any involvement in the terrorist attack that killed dozens of people in Moscow, but that doesn’t mean Russia won’t try to use the event as a way to escalate its war with Ukraine.
Des femmes déposent des fleurs en hommage à Alexeï Navalny devant un monument à Moscou le 20 février 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)

Héritage d’Alexeï Navalny : ce sont aux Russes de poursuivre son combat, loin des «idéaux» occidentaux

Les successeurs de Navalny sont les mieux placés pour poursuivre le combat pour la Russie. Mais ils ne réussiront que si la cause de Navalny n’est pas perçue comme ancrée dans les idéaux occidentaux.
Women lay flowers to pay last respects to Alexei Navalny at a monument in Moscow on Feb. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)

Western leaders threaten to undermine Navalny’s legacy in Russia

Alexei Navalny’s successors — not western leaders — are best placed to carry on the fight for Russia’s future. But they’ll only succeed if Navalny’s cause isn’t seen as anchored to western ideals.
This image provided by the U.S. Navy shows an aircraft launching from the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea on Jan. 22, 2024. American and British forces bombed targets in eight locations used by the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen, the second time the two allies have done so. (Kaitlin Watt/U.S. Navy via AP)

Western strikes against Houthis risk igniting a powderkeg in the Middle East

Since the outset of Israel’s invasion of Gaza, the West has aimed to prevent the conflict from escalating regionally. But strikes on the Houthis in Yemen by the U.S. and the U.K. may ensure it will.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks during a news conference in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Dec. 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Evgeniy Maloletka)

Ukraine can still defeat Russia, but it needs the right tools to do it

Ukraine can still emerge victorious in its war with Russia despite a failed summer counteroffensive. But what’s required now is a realistic assessment of Ukraine’s position and what is achievable.
A Kosovo police officer guards a road near the village of Banjska in northern Kosovo in September 2023 following an attack on police officers by Serbian militants. (AP Photo/Bojan Slavkovic)

How Serbia‑Kosovo tensions hang like a spectre over the European Union

The U.S. and the EU have neglected the Balkans, hoping that the allure of EU integration would be enough to placate Serbia and other countries. It was not.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy delivers a speech in the House of Commons in Ottawa on Sept. 22, 2023. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick

Zelenskyy’s meetings with Trudeau and Biden are aimed at winning the long war

Ukraine must keep its cause in the hearts and minds of the public and its allies in the West. Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s visits to Ottawa, Washington and the United Nations were in pursuit of that goal.
Face masks depicting Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin displayed at a souvenir shop in St. Petersburg, Russia. Prigozhin reportedly died in a plane crash on Aug. 23. (AP Photo, File)

Regardless of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin’s fate, Vladimir Putin benefits

Russian mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Wagner Group, reportedly died when a private jet he was said to be on crashed on Aug. 23, 2023, killing all 10 people on board.
A Ukrainian soldier prepares to fire a Russian TOS-1A Solntsepyok heavy flame-thrower rocket launcher, captured by a Ukrainian army battalion, towards Russian positions on the frontline near Kreminna, Luhansk region, in July 2023. (AP Photo/Libkos)

Ukraine’s slow advance doesn’t signal failure in its counteroffensive against Russia

The slow pace of the Ukrainian counteroffensive against Russia doesn’t suggest military success for Ukraine is impossible.
A man takes down a poster reading Join us at Wagner in Russian amid an insurrection by the Wagner Group, a private military contractor, in St. Petersburg, Russia, on June 24. (AP Photo)

What the Wagner Group revolt in Russia could mean for the war in Ukraine

If Vladimir Putin can shift blame for a failed war in Ukraine onto Wagner Group forces as they engage in an armed rebellion on Russian territory, it could provide him an escape hatch from Ukraine.

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