The Pre-election Fiscal and Economic Outlook is prepared by the Treasurer’s advisers, but the Intergenerational Report is the Treasurer’s document. Lukas Coch/AAP

Time to rethink the Charter of Budget Honesty

Forecasts released under the Charter of Budget Honesty are on the wrong time horizon and need greater transparency.
To help Australia meet its G20 commitments, infrastructure projects like Sydney’s WestConnex require a more stringent and transparent cost-benefit analysis. Dan Himbrechts/AAP

PM’s infrastructure plan failing growth and cost‑benefit goals

The OECD’s Going for Growth report released this week is a good reminder of why Tony Abbott wants to be remembered as “the infrastructure Prime Minister”. The OECD argues addressing infrastructure service…
The government is hoping asset recycling will lead to major infrastructure investments, but its success could lie elsewhere. Stefan Postles/AAP

Asset recycling no dream for Hockey, but efficiency boost likely

UPDATE: This piece originally said the Asset Recycling Initiative had been passed by the Senate. Subsequent to publication, the amended legislation was rejected by the House of Representatives. The piece…
What Federal Reserve nominee Janet Yellen might say will move markets and the Australian dollar - the RBA, not so much. AAP

Talking the dollar down: does jawboning work?

In a letter to a political ally in 1900, Theodore Roosevelt coined the phrase “Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far”. The corollary was that, without a big stick and preparedness to use…
The Australian dollar has lost its dazzle as the US economy steadily improves. Image from www.shutterstock.com

Making cents of a falling Australian dollar

After weeks of rapid depreciation, many commentators are wondering just how low can the Australian dollar go. Slowing growth in China and signs of a recovery in the US have renewed pressure on the dollar…
Debt mantra: Sloganeering around a single economic issue can help win elections. AAP

The trouble with singing the debt song is the tune may change

Election campaigns in Australia often seem to crystallise around the dire performance of a single economic indicator. In the 1996 election, it was the size of Australia’s foreign debt (Peter Costello argued…
Inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of Australia’s target range. http://www.flickr.com/photos/hbart

Inflation contained but Swan warns of tough budget decisions ahead

Australia’s inflation rate remains under control, potentially adding to the argument for the Reserve Bank to leave interest rates where they are, experts said today. But one economist has warned the Reserve…
Federal treasurer Wayne Swan said the National Accounts figures released today showed the Australian economy was doing better than every other major advanced economy. AAP/Alan Porritt

National economy grows but some non‑mining states in recession

The Australian economy grew 0.6% last quarter but Victoria, South Australia, Tasmania and the ACT are now technically in recession, according to new Australian Bureau of Statistics data. The new figures…
If there’s one thing we can say with certainty, it’s that economic forecasting is far from an exact science. Image from www.shutterstock.com

When it comes to economic forecasting, it’s wise to admit to uncertainty

One certainty about economic forecasts is that, almost certainly, they will prove to be incorrect. The best forecasters can hope for is not to make systematic errors – to get it right on average – and…
Joseph Stiglitz has recently questioned the orthodoxy of central bank independence, arguing that there is little evidence to suggest correlation between independence and economic performance.

Stiglitz is wrong to dismiss central bank independence

Australian economists and financial-market regulators would agree with much of Nobel Laureate Joseph Stiglitz’s recent speech to the Reserve Bank of India. The complexities of formulating useful models…
The Tasmanian forestry deal was about finding a balance between business and conservation. lizardstomp/flickr

Tasmanian forestry peace deal only the beginning

Last week, after nearly two years of negotiations, loggers and environmentalists shook hands on a Tasmanian forestry peace deal. The deal represents a landmark in more than 30 years of animosity between…
Some commentators have suggested that the RBA should intervene in currency markets to tame the Australian dollar. But is this a wise move? betta design

Should the RBA act on the high Australian dollar? Experts respond

As foreign central banks continue to park their money in our triple-A rated bonds, the Australian dollar continues its inevitable ascent. The dollar traded as high as US106.03¢ after the RBA left the interest…

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