Some so-called superforecasters are claimed to have predicted the course of the pandemic better than scientific experts.
- Research Associate, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge
How likely are false positives or negatives when you take a PCR test for COVID?
Members of the public were more overconfident and less accurate in predicting the likely number of infections and deaths, but both groups missed the mark.
87% of those polled believe lockdown should continue for at least another three weeks.
Governments fail to imagine how worst-case scenarios can come about – much less plan for them. But there are things we can do.
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