South Africa’s Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan is fighting to stave off a downgrade by ratings agencies. Siphiwe Sibeko/Reuters

South Africa is skating on thin ice as rating agencies weigh their options

South Africa has made some progress in fixing problems identified by ratings agencies. But there are a number of outstanding issues that might mean the country is given ‘junk’ status.
Markets plunged after the UK voted to exit the EU. Africa’s trade relations with both the EU and UK will be affected by the decision. Reuters/Kevin Coombs

African exporters face choppy waters in the wake of Brexit

Emerging market countries that rely heavily on commodity exports will be hit hardest by Britain’s decision to leave the European Union.
South Africans would have taken comfort if their finance minister had given assurances that there would be no more wasteful expenditure on South African Airways. Reuters/Siphiwe Sibeko

South Africa’s 2016 budget lacked urgency and conviction

South Africa’s finance minister claimed that a number of initiatives were in place to ensure that policies are actually implemented. But they were too broad and lacked urgency and conviction.
South Africans take their cue from what Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan says about the country’s economic outlook. Reuters/Mike Hutchings

Economic forecasting: why it matters and why it’s so often wrong

Forecasts are crucial for all economic and business activity. But looking into the future involves uncertainty and risk. Forecasts may be inaccurate, which creates a serious dilemma for policy makers
The rand’s current weakness can be attributed to a myriad of structural problems facing South Africa’s economy. Reuters

Explainer: how currency markets work and why the South African rand is falling

Like any commodity, the value of the rand is determined by the market forces of supply and demand. Its weakening is also affected by a myriad of structural problems facing the South African economy.

Contact Fatima for

  • General
  • Media request
  • Speaking request
  • Consulting / Advising
  • Research collaboration
  • Research supervision