The betting market puts the chance of a Labor victory at about 77% nationally. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: odds on for a Labor win, but don’t bet on it

Recent polling suggests the race is tightening. Then again, opinion polling suggested the recent Victorian state election would also be a close affair and it turned out to be a Labor landslide.
Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: will Whelan disendorsement make a difference in Tasmania?

It remains to be seen whether the Liberals’ campaign woes in Lyons will have any impact on the neighbouring battleground seats of Bass or Braddon, which recent polls suggest the Liberals could regain.
The leaders debate returned Western Australia to the political spotlight this week. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: more preference deals as pre‑polling begins

Pre-poll votes within the first 24 hours were almost double the number at the same stage in 2016. That could hurt some minor parties who traditionally spend big in the last few weeks of a campaign.
The Coalition is expected to announce a preference deal with Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party on Monday. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: Palmer’s preference deal and watergate woes

Clive Palmer was in the news this week after the Newspoll that showed that his United Australia Party could change the result in marginal seats in several states.
The Adani coal mine has become a key issue for voters. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: Adani, economics and personality politics

West Australian voters need convincing that the Coalition will be better than Labor at managing the economy. Meanwhile, the Queensland seat of Dickson has already descended into personality politics.
Keep up-to-date election campaign in each state. Shutterstock

Federal election 2019: state of the states

Keep up-to-date with how the federal election is playing out locally. Our State of the States series takes stock of the key issues, seats and policies affecting the vote in each of Australia’s states.
Treasurer Joe Hockey will present his much vaunted first budget tonight.

Selling off the Mint: simply creating a private monopoly?

The proposed sale of the Royal Australian Mint, expected to be announced in tonight’s Federal Budget, raises significant issues that should be addressed by the Coalition government before they go further…
The drive to privatise was popular during the Howard era. Alan Porritt/AAP

Asset recycling scheme looks more like policy recycling

The Abbott government is about to unveil a new A$10 billion infrastructure package in its first budget. Apparently it is to be funded by a “special immediate measure” in the form of a levy imposed on high-income…
Tony Abbott has faced hard questions in recent days over his travel expenses, but does this reflect a wider integrity problem for our politicians? AAP/Adam Gartrell

Entitlements scandal highlights need to enhance parliamentary integrity

The recent revelations around the inappropriate use of travel entitlements by federal MPs reflect a broader problem of the lack of accountability in parliamentarians’ public life. But this scandal is nothing…
Julia Gillard has called a leadership spill for the second time in her prime ministership. AAP/Lukas Coch

Labor leadership challenge: experts respond

Prime minister Julia Gillard has called a ballot for the Labor party leadership at 4:30pm today, at the urging of minister and former leader Simon Crean. Crean has called on Kevin Rudd to step up and nominate…

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