A DemosAU poll has the Coalition up and One Nation down, while two other polls show Pauline Hanson’s party is still on the rise.
Articles on Tasmanian politics
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New polls from DemosAU and Resolve suggest Hanson has unpopular policies, which Labor will attack closer to the election.
While Labor has taken a hit, One Nation has gained one to three points in all five federal post-budget polls.
David Farley’s win means One Nation has won its first election for a federal House of Representatives seat.
While Morgan and YouGov polls put Labor well ahead of the Coalition after preferences, Essential puts the Coalition ahead for the first time since the 2025 election.
Polls have the combined primary vote for Labor and the Greens dropping. But there’s no sign of a boost for the Coalition after its leadership change.
The Coalition is pulling ahead in Victoria, polling at 29%, while One Nation is just two points behind Labor, nine months out from the November election.
After fierce debate, Tasmania’s AFL dream is almost certain to happen but do the economics make sense?
The US president’s net approval has recovered slightly from the November low.
The Coalition has also gained two points in the federal Resolve poll, although the picture isn’t as rosy for Sussan Ley’s net approval rating.
Compared to other US presidents at the same point in their term, Trump’s ratings are only better than … his own.
Polls in two states have seen Labor leaders close the popularity gap between them and the Liberals.
Two months after a no-confidence motion in the premier passed, spurring an early election, a second motion has failed. The island state now has a government.
While the Labor opposition might be leading the opinion polls, Tasmania’s Hare-Clark voting system means the crossbench will once again be kingmakers.
As the final Senate results trickle in, the party splits remain the same in Tasmania and the Northern Territory. Meanwhile, close lower house seats go to recounts.
Some seats are so close they may qualify for a re-count.
Polls have improved for the Labor government ahead of the election - but Victoria still looks like a potential disaster zone for them.
It may be controversial, but the government’s social media ban for children under 16 has strong support in a new poll.
The two-party preferred vote is tied again in Newspoll, but the prime minister’s net approval continues to slide.
A redrawing of federal seat boundaries could have implications for the next election.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Industry Professor and Chief Economist, University of Technology Sydney
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Adjunct Associate Professor, Public and Environmental Policy, University of Tasmania
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Director, Tas Law Reform Institue / Associate Professor, University of Tasmania, University of Tasmania
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Professor of Political Science; Director, Tasmanian Policy Exchange, University of Tasmania
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Associate at the Institute for the Study of Social Change, University of Tasmania
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Associate Professor in Politics, Murdoch University
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Professor, Public Service Research, UNSW
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Casual Academic, University of Tasmania