Polling byelections is notoriously difficult so to predict a winner, you need to combine a variety of data.
Articles on MRP polling
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The way an MRP poll is produced makes it of limited value so far out from an election.
We had more MRP polls than ever before in 2024 but accuracy varied greatly between producers.
These so-called ‘mega polls’ all give Labour massive majorities – but all of different sizes. What’s going on?
Does a poll lead increase your poll lead? The science of bandwagon effects explained.
