With polling day just around the corner, six experts analyse the political movements across the country, and what it might mean electorally.
Articles on Marginal seats
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We’re more than halfway through the march to polling day and politicians are zig-zagging across the country. Here’s what’s happening in each state.
In what’s sure to be a closely fought election, every vote counts, but some seats will see particularly tight races. Which ones are most at play?
Where are the ultra marginal seats in this election?
Even marginal seats are really only contests between two parties. No wonder voters don’t feel enthusiastic.
Our new analysis shows Indigenous voters could play a decisive role in 15 marginal seats – including key battlegrounds in urban and regional Queensland, as well as NSW, WA and Tasmania.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
Elections are won and lost in marginal seats - in 2022, there are several key ones to watch.
Despite Morrison saying how much he respected the “professionalism”, “expertise” and “skills” of the public service, his remarks won’t be lost on federal bureaucrats.
Sitting MPs toppling right, left and centre? Not necessarily. The connection between the safeness of a seat and the chances it will change hands is much looser than we might expect.
How did the numbers of election 2019 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
How did the numbers of election 2016 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
The Labor Party has been driving a campaign bus from Cairns to Canberra. On Sunday night Sam Dastyari told supporters they had raised enough money to extend its journey through to Melbourne.
It is a shocking truth that, for the most part, the politicians are leaving their humanity at home as they debate the future of the men on Manus Island.
It has been reported that former Liberal Democrat peer Matthew Oakeshott has donated £600,000 to left-leaning parliamentary hopefuls in the quest to stave off a Conservative victory in the election. Oakeshott…
If the polls are accurate and Labor is almost at level pegging with the Coalition, it would seem we are in for a repeat of the very close election of 2010. But for various reasons this is not necessarily…
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Associate Professor in Politics, Murdoch University
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Associate Professor of Politics and Journalism, Griffith University, Griffith University
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Associate Professor, Politics and Public Policy, Flinders University
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Deputy Director, Tasmanian Policy Exchange, University of Tasmania
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Associate Professor in Politics and International Relations, School of Social Sciences, Monash University
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Honorary Associate, Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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ARC DECRA Fellow, Australian National University
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice Chancellor's Fellow and Professorial Fellow, Institute for Human Security and Social Change, La Trobe University
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Professor of Historical Geography, University of Portsmouth
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Professor of Politics, University of Southampton
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Research Fellow in Disaster Resilience, Monash University
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Research Associate, Cardiff University
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Professor of Politics, Royal Holloway, University of London
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PhD Researcher in Politics, York St John University