While the final results in Tasmania’s second election in 16 months won’t be known for days, the Liberals are well ahead – but will fall short of a clear majority.
Articles on Hung parliament
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Research shows Australians are increasingly drifting away from the major parties. Can independent candidates capitalise on this?
A four-day working week would be trialled in certain industries, under an election policy from the Greens, who could share the balance of power in a hung parliament.
The most successful coalitions oversees have been formed using a similar model – Australia should do the same.
The federal election hasn’t even been called, yet efforts are already underway to sideline the Teals if voters return a hung parliament.
While it was clear the Liberals were set to govern in minority weeks ago, the end of the vote count leaves the party with one less seat than expected, making forming government harder.
Despite a swing against it, the Liberal party has likely won the most seats, but will fall short of a majority. While the vote counting will continue, the political fight is now to form government.
Hours into the count in the Tasmanian election, the state can expect a hung parliament. Meanwhile, Labor is succeeding in a South Australian state byelection.
In covering the final days of the Victorian election, mainstream media fell victim to wanting the most dramatic outcome – no matter how weak the evidence for it may have been.
Word from The Hill: Five seats to watch on Saturday night, and getting the hang of a hung parliament
Michelle Grattan discusses politics with politics + society editor, Amanda Dunn
If a minority government needs backing from the ‘teal’ independents and the Greens, it better be prepared to shift the needle on climate policy.
When no party can immediately form a majority government, the negotiations begin – and the role of the crossbenchers becomes extremely important.
Since the advent of the two-party preferred system, there have been two examples of parties governing effectively in minority, and with the support of independents.
In 1922-23, Billy Hughes’ Nationalist Party brokered a deal with the Country Party to form government - but only on condition Hughes was no longer prime minister. It’s possible this could play out again.
Each day seems to bring a new announcement of an independent taking on a high-profile Liberal candidate.
We now wait for the final count of seats in the House of Representatives and the Senate - and in the meantime, government continues.
A minority government would not mean the government would fall - but it would make governing more difficult.
After election night reports of a thumping win in by independent Kerryn Phelps, the Liberals have recovered significantly in postal votes - so much so, the result is now uncertain.A
And two of the occasions involved Irish MPs.
UK voters delivered a devastating blow to the prime minister, who combined a populist message with her party’s traditional economic policies. She may now face a power struggle.
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor Emerita in Constitutional Law, University of Sydney
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Vice Chancellor's Fellow, The University of Melbourne
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Director, Vice-Chancellor's Centre of Public Ideas (CoPI) and Donald Horne Professor of History and Public Ideas, University of Canberra
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Associate Professor of History, UNSW
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Professor of Politics, University of Oxford
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Associate Lecturer, History, Lancaster University, University of Birmingham
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Visiting Professor, Anglia Ruskin University and Professor of Practice in International Political Economy, City St George's, University of London
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Reader in Political Science and International Relations, Aston University
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Clinical Professor of International Business; Director, Center for Global Business Studies; Associate Dean for International Programs, Penn State
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Executive Dean, City St George's, University of London
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Partner, Government & Public Sector, Providence / Honorary Fellow, Australian National University
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Georgia State University
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Head of Politics, University of Liverpool