The Coalition lead Labor 53–47, excluding undecided, in a federal Essential poll.
Articles on Essential poll
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Polls aren’t favouring state Labor parties. Based on the latest figures, Labor would struggle to form government in Tasmania, while support for the party in Queensland has dipped.
While Labor will be relieved at holding Dunkley, polls point to a rockier path to the next federal election.
The Tasmanian Liberal government has called an early election, but some recent polling suggests a rise in the popularity of Jacqui Lambie’s party.
While two-party preferred polling is steady, a majority of Australians support Labor’s changes to the stage 3 tax cuts.
Latest polling suggests Labor’s position might be improving slightly, perhaps due to increased optimism about the state of the economy.
A proposed Senate election reform would be little to fix the unequal representation of the states and territories in the upper house - in fact, it would make it worse.
The Labor Party continues the poll slide it has experienced since the failed Voice referendum in October.
After a post-referendum drop in the polls, Labor has bounced back.
The final Newspoll gave “no” an accurate lead. Meanwhile, Labor maintains a strong overall lead against the Coalition.
While the latest Essential polls shows an improvement for the “yes” vote, it’s still not enough for it to lead.
In the national poll, 42% of respondents said they were a hard ‘no’, compared to 28% who said they were a hard ‘yes’.
As support for the Voice continues to slide, voters are turning away from the Albanese government too.
If the “yes” case is to win the October referendum, there will need to be sharp turn around in the polling trends to date.
Polling continues to bring bad news for supporters of the Voice to Parliament.
Support for the Voice to Parliament continues to slide - but there are some small glimmers of hope for the “yes” campaign.
Polling continues to show that support for a “yes” vote at the upcoming referendum is losing ground.
After a shocking state election result, the Victorian opposition has slumped further in the latest polls.
The polls are showing wildly different results for the likelihood of the Voice to parliament succeeding - which may be explained by who they are polling.
The Labor government maintains a healthy lead in the polls, but support for the Voice to parliament appears to be slipping.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Pro Vice Chancellor Research, Western Sydney University
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Emeritus Professor of Sociology, University of Technology Sydney
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Researcher, Challenging Racism Project and Diversity and Human Rights Research Centre, Western Sydney University