The work of estimating conflict mortality is difficult. But that doesn’t make this grim exercise, nor accounting for the broader effects of conflict, any less critical.
Articles on Death toll estimates
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In war, each side tends to minimise its own losses and overestimate the enemy death toll – Ukraine is no exception.
Estimates of casualties from the war in Ukraine have varied widely. Some of this is due to genuine difficulty counting the dead, but there are also strategic reasons to put out misleading death tolls.
Health statisticians keep careful tabs on how many people die every week. Based on what’s happened in past years, they know what to expect – but 2020 death counts are surging beyond predictions.
Health statisticians keep careful tabs on how many people die every week. Based on what’s happened in past years, they know what to expect – but 2020 death counts are surging beyond predictions.
Most people believe the government was wrong to stop publishing international comparisons of COVID-19 death tolls.
As Trump fumes about the Hurricane Maria death toll, it’s clear that politics and political considerations often play an important role in how death toll estimates are communicated to the public.
Top contributors
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Vice Provost for Faculty Affairs and Professor of Statistics, Virginia Tech
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Lecturer, School of Journalism, Cardiff University
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Lecturer, School of Journalism, Media and Culture, Cardiff University
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Senior Lecturer in Security Studies, Birmingham City University
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Postdoctoral Research Associate, Cardiff University
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Professor, Cardiff School of Journalism, Media and Culture, Cardiff University
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Post-Doctoral Researcher, Department of Environmental, Occupational, and Agricultural Health, University of Nebraska Medical Center
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Assistant Adjunct Professor of Epidemiology, University of California, Berkeley
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DrPH Candidate, University of California, Berkeley
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Assistant Professor of Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University
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Professor of Public Health, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain)
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PhD Candidate in Political Science and International Relations, Queen's University, Ontario
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Montague Burton Chair in International Relations, University of Oxford