In other polls, Victoria appears set for a change of government in its November state election.
Articles on 2026 Victorian election
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With the Victorian state election two months away, the Labor government has improved in the polls, but remain behind the Coalition.
Voters need to become better at questioning what they see, without automatically disbelieving it.
This is Labor’s second lowest ever primary vote in Newspoll, which they had last equalled in April 2012 when Julia Gillard was prime minister.
Labor is likely to lose the Victorian election, but it’s unclear whether the Coalition will be able to govern in majority or need support from One Nation.
The Secret Harbour win will remove any Labor complacency that One Nation is just a problem for the conservatives.
It is an unenviable position for a government to have potentially misallocated tens of billions of dollars to poorly selected infrastructure.
About three months out from the Victorian state election, the five polls released since the state got a new premier all show the Coalition in front.
Victorian voters surveyed named cost of living, crime and health as their top three policy issues, with just over three months until the next state election.
The deliberately misleading ‘Free Palestine’ party was established by a pro-Israeli YouTuber to swing votes from left to right. And it’s perfectly legal.
If the new premier cannot unify his party and present a clear path forward, Labor will struggle to convince voters it deserves a fourth term.
Allegations of bikie and criminal infiltration into Victoria’s massive infrastructure program have dogged the premier for months.
The Andrews-Allan government has been in power for almost 12 years. But sliding popularity and leadership turmoil could see it lose its golden electoral touch.
Unpopular in the polls and with One Nation threatening to be a major force in the November state election, Labor has now headed into a period of leadership turmoil.
The far-right party’s momentum may have slowed, but it still attracts strong support – Victoria’s November state election will show just how much.
With a state election set for late November, a new poll has One Nation ahead of the two major parties.
This election is likely to be watched closely across the country because of what it reveals about the changing party system in Australia.
Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan’s approval rating has hit dire levels. Meanwhile, Pauline Hanson leads as preferred prime minister in federal Resolve poll.
After the High Court struck down the state government’s previous attempt, Victoria had no donations laws at all. Here’s what the proposed new ones say.
One of the frontrunners in the landmark by-election, independent Michelle Milthorpe, as well as One Nation MP Barnaby Joyce, also joined us on the podcast.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Postdoctoral research fellow, Flinders University; University of Canberra
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PhD Candidate and Casual Academic in Politics, La Trobe University
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Lecturer in Australian Politics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor in Politics and International Relations, School of Social Sciences, Monash University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Lecturer, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, La Trobe University
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PhD candidate in Politics, La Trobe University
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Professor, Melbourne Law School, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Lecturer in Public Policy, Flinders University
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Professor of Law, The University of Queensland
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Professor of Urban Policy and Director, Urban Futures Enabling Impact Platform, RMIT University
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Associate Professor, Faculty of Law, Monash University
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Senior Lecturer in Marketing, Griffith University
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PhD Student, The University of Queensland; Griffith University