The bigger movement in the data over the past quarter-century is at the other end of the age spectrum: A reliable base of older Conservative Party voters is largely gone.
Articles on 2025 Canadian election
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Mark Carney has the chance to differentiate Canada from the U.S. and demonstrate his leadership on climate. Instead, at the G7 summit and beyond, he seems to have abandoned his climate principles.
Polls also show Anthony Albanese is preferred PM over Peter Dutton, but both leaders have poor net approval ratings.
The Liberals had been poised for a heavy defeat – before the election of Donald Trump across the border.
With just five full days left until the May 3 election and early voting in progress, Labor remains the favourite to win, according to the polls.
In January, the governing Liberals were more than 20 points behind in the polls, but with an election just days away, they’re now well ahead.
The latest Newspoll has Labor consolidating its recent gains ahead of the May 3 election.
Amid global turmoil and with two weeks of the election campaign done, Labor is enjoying a bump in the polls.
While the polls remain tight, Labor is ahead after the first week of campaigning.
With a five-week campaign ahead, the polls have swing back in favour of Labor - but it’s still very close.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor, Global Management Studies, Toronto Metropolitan University
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PhD Student, Political Science, University of Toronto
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Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Toronto, University of Toronto