- Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham
Trump is keen to portray himself as a global peacemaker.
Les discussions tenues à Washington entre Trump, Zelensky et plusieurs leaders européens n’ont pas donné de résultats concrets.
There are signs that Ukraine, the US and Europe are close to agreeing a pathway to a peace deal, but the initial response from Russia has not been promising.
Trump’s meeting with Putin in Alaska is shaping up to be the most important of his second presidency.
There are signs the US president is prepared to follow through on his threats of sanctioning Russia and arming Ukraine.
The US president doesn’t appear to have sufficient leverage or an experienced enough team to solve the more complex conflicts.
Neither side is willing to move away from their original maximalist positions.
Ukraine has been at war for more than a decade. The task of rebuilding the country and healing its people is likely to take even longer.
The lack of US commitment to Ukraine’s defence is both threat and opportunity for Europe.
Experts are predicting that Russia will try and interfere in the upcoming election in Moldova.
Nato leaders will do their best to engage with a US president who appears increasingly hostile towards the alliance.
Huge Ukrainian strike against Russia was a massive success, but doesn’t break the stalemate at the negotiating table.
Germany has announced plans to develop the ‘strongest’ conventional army in Europe.
Trump informs Ukraine and its European allies that the war is now solely their problem to solve.
Russia’s push for territorial concessions is part of its wider agenda of extending its regional sphere of influence and threatening Europe.
Russia’s Victory Day commemorations were a display of how close Moscow and Beijing are.
On defence, energy and trade, Europe is now forging new partnerships to become more independent.
European counterproposals reject most of the terms of Trump’s suggested peace deal.
As things stand, there is very little hope for a sustainable peace deal emerging from negotiations.
Melting ice in the Arctic is opening up shipping routes and making the region a valuable strategic asset.
America’s intelligence bosses would not accept that ‘Signal-gate’ represented a breach of security.
The Russian president set harsh conditions on Ukraine and offered little in return.
Vladimir Putin agora terá que ponderar como manter uma redefinição com os EUA e, ao mesmo tempo, pressionar por mais sucesso militar no campo de batalha.
Vladimir Putin will now have to weigh up how to maintain a reset with the US while also pressing for more military success on the battlefield.
US foreign policy is forcing a security rethink, particularly in Europe.
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