Sinclair Davidson

CM Day.

Throwing Anna Bligh to the wolves

I have written elsewhere that the way that Kevin Rudd can win the election - and I think he’s in it to win, not that he will win mind you - is by generating political turbulence. Preferably by creating…
Labour market.

Spot the trends not monthly variation

So the employment figures for July have been published by the ABS today. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate is 5.7 per cent and the participation rate is 65.1 per cent. By historical standards the…
DT Day.

Tele front page is bread and butter journalism

The Daily Telegraph has another ‘controversial’ front page. I suspect they would have run this picture irrespective of there being an election on. Everyone love a ‘pollies are hypocrites’ story - especially…
DT Day.

Still talking about that front page

Day three of the campaign and we’re still talking about the front page of the Daily Telegraph from day one. Tim Dunlop writing at new media outlet The Drum weighs in: “The Tele’s front page was a very…
Std Var Rate.

Be prepared to answer tough questions

Mark Twain is reputed to have said that you should never pick a fight with people who buy ink by the barrel. In modern terms that should include never pick a fight with people who can rebroadcast what…
CM Day.

First impressions from the tabloids

Day one of the election campaign and the tabloids have got some great front pages. The Daily Telegraph leaves us in no doubt what it thinks. To a large extent this must reflect the views of its Sydney…

Is Rupert out to get Kevin?

An election isn’t just a contest between political parties, it is also a contest between media outlets. Over time it’ll also become a contest between media platforms. In the meantime, however, there will…
Ford Australia has announced it will pull its car production out of Australia by 2016, with the loss of 1200 manufacturing jobs.

Ford to pull out of car production in Australia: expert reaction

The future of Australia’s auto manufacturing industry is under a heavy cloud after Ford’s announcement that it would cease its manufacturing operations in Australia by 2016. Ford Australia president Bob…
Lame duck, dying swan - headline writers have had fun with the treasurer’s sixth budget, but the fact is this budget will be remembered for its fiscal irresponsibility. Image sourced from www.shutterstock.com

Swan’s budget is a lame effort from a dying government

It has been pretty difficult to get too excited about the latest budget – it is a lame Swan effort from a dying government. It will mostly be remembered as a monument to fiscal irresponsibility. The budget…
Julia Gillard has called a leadership spill for the second time in her prime ministership. AAP/Lukas Coch

Labor leadership challenge: experts respond

Prime minister Julia Gillard has called a ballot for the Labor party leadership at 4:30pm today, at the urging of minister and former leader Simon Crean. Crean has called on Kevin Rudd to step up and nominate…
Now that Prime Minister Julia Gillard has announced the date of the federal election, can the business community expect more certainty about policy directions? AAP

PM’s election call is hardly a boon for the business community

Julia Gillard has now confirmed what everyone already knew: there will be an election sometime in August or September this year. We now know the precise date: September 14. That is also the Jewish Day…
Wayne Swan tells journalists the government’s promised budget surplus is now unlikely to be delivered. ABC News

Swan says budget surplus now unlikely: experts respond

Treasurer Wayne Swan has acknowledged it’s unlikely the government will deliver the budget surplus it had been promising for next year, following the release of a disappointing monthly financial statement…
Tax reform or trickery? Treasurer Wayne Swan’s plan for businesses to pay a monthly tax bill instead of a quarterly one has been met with acrimony from the business community. AAP

Timing is everything: making sense of Swan’s corporate tax shake‑up

One of the more contentious issues in the 2012-13 Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) is a tax-timing change. Corporate income tax will be paid monthly instead of quarterly for very large corporations…
Treasurer Wayne Swan’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook reveals the government’s commitment to deliver a budget surplus for 2012-13. AAP

Swan cuts to save surplus: the experts respond

The Federal Government will make around $16.4 billion in new savings over the forward estimates to keep the budget in surplus despite a decline in revenue, according to documents released today. Treasurer…
Fairfax Media needs a patron - and the one on offer is Gina Rinehart. AAP

Fairfax is broke and dying before our eyes ‑ it needs Gina

Every business needs paying customers. Who those paying customers are varies from business to business. The single largest paying customer for Australian universities, for example, is the federal government…
Political, rather than economic: economists say there is no direct link to surpluses and lower interest rates. AAP

Can surpluses lead to lower interest rates?

The Federal Government is continuing its pre-budget surplus sell, with Prime Minister Julia Gillard directly linking its plans to return the budget to surplus to lower interest rates. Gillard will use…
Raising the income tax rate can disproportionately burden young people and low-income earners. www.seniorliving.org

Counting the costs of higher taxes

Oliver Wendell Holmes, jnr famously said that he liked paying income tax: it was the price of civilisation. Sure, he bought his civilisation at about seven cents in the dollar, but the general point remains…
Treasurer Wayne Swan is maintaining a slimmed down surplus for 2012-2013 - but storm clouds are rolling over the global economy. AAP

Slimmed down surplus as Swan unveils mid‑year budget: experts respond

The Federal Government is still aiming to deliver a slimmed down surplus next financial year, but has downgraded economic growth forecasts amid a slowing world economy and news that Europe may already…
An oil extraction project in Canada – a country absent from the Productivity Commission’s carbon report. AAP

An emissions reduction policy beyond comparison?

One of the most basic questions to ask in any analysis of Australia’s carbon policy has always been: what is the rest of the world doing? Last week, the Productivity Commission (PC) published a partial…

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