Fabrizio Carmignani

We need entrepreneurs with vision beyond the current reporting period. www.shutterstock.com

Long‑term growth is the victim of short‑term buyback schemes

When Lord John Maynard Keynes wrote “In the long run we are all dead”, he was not just expressing his frustration at mainstream economists who blindly believed in self-adjusting markets. I am convinced…
Tony’s Abbott’s pre-election jobs promise sounds impressive, but it’s actually under trend. AAP/Lukas Coch

Why Abbott’s two million jobs promise isn’t as good as it sounds

Creating more jobs is a rather common promise in politics. Some politicians are more daring in pledging to create a certain number of jobs within a given period of time. During the 2013 electoral campaign…
Australia is unlikely to gain the support needed from other G20 countries to block Russia attending the G20. AAP Image/NewZulu/Hugh Peterswald

Who in the G20 is (not) afraid of the big bad Russian wolf?

The downing of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 has considerably increased the strain on the relationship between Russia and the European Union and United States on the other side. Following the escalation…
Economic modelling predicts that Germany is the most likely country to qualify for the semi-finals at the 2014 World Cup. EPA/Andreas Gebert

An economic crisis may make you stronger – in football

Forget Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo or Mario Balotelli. What will make your country more (or less) likely to succeed in the World Cup is its rate of economic growth. At this point, I expect European…
OECD data shows some of the most vulnerable in society suffered disproportionately after the last financial crisis. Dan Himbrechts/AAP

Why the federal budget should get a ‘fail’ from the G20

Everybody would agree that growth, defined as a steady increase in gross domestic product, is a necessary condition for economic development. There is simply no country that has reduced poverty and improved…
Is Australia on its own ‘Great Gatsby curve’? Victoria Pickering/Flickr

The Great Gatsby days of inequality and social polarisation

In the popular novel of F. Scott Fitzgerald, James “Jimmy” Gatz (The Great Gatsby) climbs from his poor, rural North Dakotan origins to New York’s high society. His parties are as glamorous as they get…
Treasurer Joe Hockey wants the G20 Finance Ministers to agree to hard economic growth targets, but not everyone is on the same page. Daniel Munoz/AAP

Hockey’s G20 growth targets can’t be one size fits all

Treasurer Joe Hockey this week revealed plans to push for quantitative economic growth targets from the G20 Finance Ministers, who are meeting in Sydney this weekend. But it’s unclear whether this mission…
Austerity advocates, including the UK’s George Osborne, have used previous research to justify focusing on debt reduction, but a new paper says medium and long-term growth isn’t necessarily impacted. EPA/Stefan Rousseau

High debt doesn’t hurt economic growth: IMF

High levels of government debt won’t hurt economic growth in the medium and long-term, according to a new paper released by the International Monetary Fund. The research findings contradict earlier arguments…
A World Bank report gives a hopeful forecast for global growth. Image sourced from www.shutterstock.com

Growth spurt hopes for global economy, but challenges remain

The World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects report released this week is moderately optimistic about the short-term outlook of the global economy. World Bank economists anticipate an improvement in most…
Smiling now: Christine Lagarde ahead of the annual conference that brings together IMF and World Bank governors. EPA/Shawn Thew

Should the IMF announce its intentions on economic policy?

The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank will today begin their marathon three-day annual meeting in Washington D.C. to review the last year and set out strategies for the future. And while it…
We all know what’s happened, but what happens next? Mitch Duncan/AAP

Election 2013 results and the future: experts respond

Australia has elected a Coalition government. So what will this mean for key policy areas? Our experts take a closer look at what’s in store for business, the economy, the environment, the National Broadband…
The Coalition has unveiled the remainder of its long-awaited costings. AAP

Coalition unveils election costings: experts respond

The Coalition has released the remainder of its costings, one-and-a-half days before the election, outlining a plan to fund an A$11.5 billion infrastructure package by cutting foreign aid growth by $4.5…
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Australia has done it better

The economic management record of Kevin Rudd as a prime minister is constantly under attack in this campaign. To put it bluntly, I fail to see why. As I already discussed in other articles and as I will…
Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott have faced off in a second debate - this time, a ‘people’s forum’ in front of 100 undecided voters. AAP/Lukas Coch

Rudd vs Abbott people’s forum: experts respond

Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott have met in a “town hall” style leaders’ debate at the Broncos Leagues Club in Brisbane. Abbott and Rudd took questions from an audience of 100 undecided voters on issues from…

Campaigning on employment

This TV Ad touches on a number of interesting elements of the economic policy platform of the Coalition. One that has caught my attention and on which I would like to comment here is the promise “to generate…
How does Australia’s economy stack up when compared globally?

FactCheck: how strong is Australia’s economy?

“We have among the lowest of budget deficits and debt to GDP of any other major economies in the developed world… If it’s so bad, Mr Abbott, why have we been given by the three ratings agencies a AAA credit…
Quantitative easing by the US appears to have had a stimulatory effect - but how long can and should it go on for? AAP

Does the economy need some “quantitative doping”?

It would seem that the US quantitative easing policy has had a positive effect. New figures show US jobs creation has strengthened, while consumers’ confidence has hit a five year high, home prices have…
Should the European Commission’s decision to waive the 3% deficit limit for three of the Euro’s largest economies be extended to fuel growth and jobs? AAP

Is Lord Keynes back in Brussels?

The European Union (or at least its periphery) is a big, sick patient that so far has been treated with robust injections of fiscal austerity. This seemed to be the right course of action to cure the “debt…
An influential economics paper — which has now been shown to have several methodological flaws — was used by policymakers to justify austerity drives around the world. AAP

Economists, an Excel error, and the misguided push for austerity

The economic literature is full of excellent articles that are not read outside small academic circles. There are, however, important exceptions. “Growth in a Time of Debt”, by Carmen R. Reinhart and Kenneth…
A deal to help Cyprus raise €7 billion to qualify for another €10 billion bailout from the EU and IMF has been agreed to, but investors will feel the pain. EPA/Olivier Hoslet

Cyprus bank bailout plan: the experts respond

Uninsured savings over €100,000 deposited in a troubled Cypriot bank may be subject to a new levy, under a deal reached to save the Cyprus banking system. The European Union (EU) finance ministers, the…

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